2019-11-25

[public] 1.83M views, 62.4K likes, dislikes audio only

TED-Ed

Explore the psychology of the cognitive bias known as the conjunction fallacy, where we assume specific conditions are more probable than general ones.

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Meet Lucy. She was a math major in college, and aced all her courses in probability and statistics. Which do you think is more likely: that Lucy is a portrait artist, or that Lucy is a portrait artist who also plays poker? How do we know which statement is more likely to be true? Alex Gendler explores our tendency to look for shortcuts and the phenomenon known as the conjunction fallacy.

Lesson by Alex Gendler, directed by Artrake Studio.

Animator's website: https://www.artrake.com

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View full lesson: https://ed.ted.com/lessons/can-you-outsmart-this-logical-fallacy-alex-gendler

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